Interannual relationship of the extreme precipitation dipole mode over South China and Indochina Peninsula with the tropical Pacific-Indian Ocean sea surface temperature anomaly in May
编号:457 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-29 10:09:39 浏览:33次 张贴报告

报告开始:2025年04月18日 08:55(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

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摘要
This study investigates the interannual relationship of extreme precipitation days (EPD) over South China (SC) and Indochina Peninsula (ICP) with tropical Pacific-Indian Ocean Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies during May, utilizing observations, reanalysis, and Coupled-Model Intercomparison Project 6 (CMIP6) model outputs. The results uncover a dipole mode in the interannual variations of May EPD over SC and ICP, characterized by an east–west inverse pattern. This dipole mode is significantly attributed to large-scale circulation anomalies induced by tropical Pacific–Indian Ocean mode (PIM). During the positive phase of PIM, SST anomalies in the tropical east-central Pacific and western Indian Oceans are anomalously warm, contrasted with negative SST anomalies in the western Pacific, leading to anomalous Walker circulations. Accordingly, two robust anticyclones appear in the lower levels of the Northwest Pacific and the Bay of Bengal, respectively. The south westerlies on the western flank of the anticyclone in the Northwest Pacific cause moisture convergence over SC, favoring the occurrence of extreme precipitation in SC. Conversely, the anticyclonic circulation centered at the Bay of Bengal is not conducive to the transport of warm water vapor from oceans to ICP, resulting in reduced occurrence of extreme precipitation there. The results derived from CMIP6 models unequivocally support the notion that the dipole mode is predominantly shaped by large-scale circulation anomalies induced by PIM. Our results underscore the importance of accounting for the collective impact of oceanic drivers in the tropics, laying a scientific foundation for enhanced precision in simulating extreme precipitation across SC and ICP.
 
关键词
South China and Indochina Peninsula, Extreme precipitation days, Sea surface temperature, Tropical Pacific-Indian Ocean, CMIP6 model
报告人
TangBin
博士后 Institute of Atmospheric Physics

稿件作者
TangBin Institute of Atmospheric Physics
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月21日

    2025

  • 04月10日 2025

    初稿截稿日期

  • 04月23日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
承办单位
中国科学院大气物理研究所
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