Using machine learning to unravel chemical and meteorological effects on ground-level ozone: Insights for ozone-climate control strategies
编号:400 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-03-27 21:00:09 浏览:41次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年04月19日 11:30(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会场:[S2-4;S2-7;S2-11] 专题2.4 多尺度大气化学数值模拟和资料同化 / 专题2.7 甲烷温室气体的排放量化和大气物理化学过程 / 专题2.11 对流层臭氧与大气光化学污染 [S2-4] 专题2.4 多尺度大气化学数值模拟和资料同化

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摘要
Under the backdrop of climate change, various countries/regions across East Asia have witnessed severe ground-level ozone (O3) pollution, which poses potential health risks to the public. The complex relationships between O3 and its drivers, including the precursors and meteorological variables, are not yet fully understood. Revealing the formation regime of O3 is crucial for providing evidence-based information for pollution control. In the present study, we evaluated the influence of key chemical  (e.g., volatile organic compounds, PM2.5, NOx) and meteorological drivers (e.g., air temperature, relative humidity) on ground-level O3 pollution at Tucheng site in New Taipei, Northern Taiwan, using fine-resolution atmospheric composition measurements and machine learning. The developed random forest machine learning models performed well, with 10-fold cross-validation R2 values above 0.867. The results reveal seasonal disparities on the formation regimes of ground-level O3 between winter and summer. Chemical drivers contributed 82.4% and 62.1%, respectively, to O3 concentrations in winter and summer. Based on the random forest models, temperature, 1,2,3-Trimethylbenzene, NOx, t-2-Butene, and relative humidity were identified as the dominant drivers of O3 formation. The machine learning-based modelling framework developed in this study can be easily adapted to new sampling sites with minor modifications if necessary.
关键词
O3; VOCs; Meteorology; Machine learning; Taiwan
报告人
李志远
副教授 中山大学

稿件作者
李志远 中山大学
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    04月17日

    2025

    04月21日

    2025

  • 04月10日 2025

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  • 04月20日 2025

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中国科学院大气物理研究所
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