Deep learning for storm surge forecasting in the coastal areas of Zhejiang and Fujian
编号:913 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-12-31 09:09:45 浏览:203次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月16日 09:00(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S6] Session 6-Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interactions: From Weather to Climate Scales [S6-1] Tropical Cyclone-Ocean Interactions: From Weather to Climate Scales

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摘要
Storm surge induced by tropical cyclones has consistently been the most devastating among all marine hazards in casualties and economic repercussions. Its accurate forecasting is of great significance for coastal economic and social development. In this study, a physics-informed neural network (PINN) which introduces the two-dimensional storm surge governing equation into a deep neural network (DNN), is proposed to forecast the storm surge events in the coastal areas of Zhejiang and Fujian. The storm surge levels from an advanced circulation (ADCIRC) model are used for training and evaluating the network. A storm surge event during Typhoon ‘Utor’ in 2001 is selected as the forecast case. Results indicate that the PINN-based model is able to accurately forecast storm surge levels with root mean square error (RMSE) below 0.2 m. The RMSE is smaller than that estimated by DNN, with the maximum reduction of 20%, indicating that the physics constraints can effectively improve the model performance in forecasting the storm surge.
关键词
storm surge, physics-constrained, deep learning, coastal areas of China
报告人
Huarong Xie
Dr. Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

稿件作者
Huarong Xie Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Yuli Liu Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
Changming Dong Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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