Closing the budget of sea level rise trend and its acceleration from 1960 to 2023
编号:225 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-10-10 22:49:49 浏览:184次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月16日 08:45(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S23] Session 23-Sea Level Rise: Understanding, Observing, and Modelling [S23-1] Sea Level Rise: Understanding, Observing, and Modelling

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摘要
Ensuring the closure of the global mean sea level (GMSL) budget is essential to understand the causes of GMSL rise. Not only that, GMSL is also accelerating, but its closing of the acceleration budgets has remained challenging since 1960. This study accounts for the recent progress in GMSL, steric sea level and ocean mass estimates to assess the budget for the GMSL trend and its acceleration for the three key observational eras of 1960-2020, 1993-2020 and 2005-2020, respectively. For 1960-2020, the trend of GMSL is 1.83±0.40 mm yr-1, closely matching contributions of 1.85±0.13 mm yr-1, with the key contribution from steric sea level, followed by glacier. Additionally, the observed GMSL acceleration of 0.072±0.005 mm yr-2 for 1960-2020 matches contributions of 0.071±0.000 mm yr-2, dominated by steric sea level. From 1993 to 2020, the GMSL rise of 3.25±0.10 mm yr⁻¹, also aligns with contributions of 3.24±0.14 mm yr⁻¹. For 2005-2020, the observed GMSL acceleration is 0.108±0.026 mm yr-2, mainly driven by steric sea level at 0.116±0.017 mm yr-2. This study demonstrates that recent observations are capable of reconciling the observed GMSL with the sum of contributors, highlighting the importance of adequate data processing and bias corrections.

 
关键词
sea level,acceleration,misclousre,climate change
报告人
Huayi Zheng
Master Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

稿件作者
Huayi Zheng Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Lijing Cheng Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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