Decomposition of multi-scale contributing factors to extreme sea levels in the western tropical Pacific
编号:172 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2025-01-01 00:05:33 浏览:200次 张贴报告

报告开始:2025年01月16日 18:50(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S23] Session 23-Sea Level Rise: Understanding, Observing, and Modelling [S23-P] Sea Level Rise: Understanding, Observing, and Modelling

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摘要
The western tropical Pacific is one of the world's regions most severely affected by flood disasters caused by extreme sea level changes. Existing research generally considers extreme sea level changes in this region to be the result of sea level rise, combined with the effects of tides and storm surges. These studies often overlook the important role of interannual and decadal climate variability (such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation) in modulating the frequency and intensity of extreme sea level events. This study, based on hourly tide gauge data, adopts a novel decomposition method to identify and quantify the contributions of different sea level components (tides, storm surges, seasonal cycle, interannual-to-decadal climate variability, and long-term sea level change) to extreme sea level events in the western tropical Pacific. We find that the relative importance of each component to extreme sea level events varies significantly across space and time. the phase transitions of interannual-to-decadal climate variability dominate the low-frequency changes in extreme sea levels at certain stations. At certain observation stations, the phase transitions of interannual-to-decadal climate variability dominate the low-frequency changes in extreme sea levels. This phenomenon is particularly significant for individual extreme sea level events and is more pronounced in island regions compared to coastal areas. In contrast, tidal anomalies have a significant impact on extreme water levels in coastal areas but have a relatively limited effect on island regions.
关键词
western tropical Pacific, extreme sea level, El Niño, storm surges
报告人
Sihan Jia
Master's student Xiamen University

稿件作者
Sihan Jia Xiamen University
Kewei Lyu Xiamen University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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