209 / 2021-11-01 10:34:53
An Effective Method-Based CIG Hybrid Algorithm for Short-Term Load Forecasting
Power System Analysis,Short-Term Load Forecasting,Gray Wolf Optimizer,CEEMDAN-IGWO-GRU Hybrid Algorithm,Prediction
全文录用
Zixing Chen / Fuzhou University
Tao Jin / Fuzhou University
Xidong Zheng / Fuzhou University
Zhiyuan Zhuang / Fuzhou University
The accuracy level of Short-Term Load Forecasting (STLF) affects the power department's arrangements for unit start-up, shutdown, overhaul, and load dispatching. However, the existing algorithms do not fully consider load volatility and difficulty in setting the algorithm parameters. In this regard, this paper designs a CEEMDAN-IGWO-GRU (CIG) hybrid algorithm for STLF based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm for load stabilization, the powerful nonlinear fitting ability of Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), and the parameter optimization ability of Improved Gray Wolf Optimizer (IGWO). Firstly, the details and trend information of the load signal are separated by the CEEMDAN algorithm. Then, the GRU network optimized by IGWO parameters is used to predict each component, separately. Finally, the complete load forecasting results are obtained by reconstructing the forecasting result of each component. To verify the validity of the CIG hybrid algorithm, experiments are performed based on power load data of a certain area under study, and the experimental results are compared with other existing algorithms. The experimental results show that the CIG hybrid algorithm performs well for STLF, and the accuracy indexes of the statistical standards are improved.
重要日期
  • 会议日期

    07月11日

    2023

    08月18日

    2023

  • 11月10日 2021

    初稿截稿日期

  • 12月10日 2021

    注册截止日期

  • 12月11日 2021

    报告提交截止日期

主办单位
IEEE IAS
承办单位
IEEE IAS Student Chapter of Southwest Jiaotong University (SWJTU)
IEEE IAS Student Chapter of Huazhong University of Science and Technology (HUST)
IEEE PELS (Power Electronics Society) Student Chapter of HUST
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